Will Millennials change the investment landscape?

 

Millennials (those born between 1980 and 2000) have recently become the largest demographic cohort (now 29% of the population) and by 2030 will represent the largest source of income and consumer spending, earning two out of every three dollars in Australia. While much has been written about how the shift in spending patterns will change the retail landscape (online over brick and mortar and experiences over materialism) relatively little research has focused on the changes to investing and asset management. Over the next two decades millennials will not only become the largest earners but are also set to inherit significant wealth, further incretechasing their importance to the investment industry.

 

They are tech savvy, passivists

Much of the focus on the investments of millennials has to date, revolved around the growth of passive/ETF investing (Australian millennials now account for 25% of ETF trades1) and the use of “robo-advice”. Both have largely been driven by lower minimum investments and low fees, making them attractive entry level propositions. While these trends are likely to continue, millennial investors are also likely to move into more traditional investment products as they build wealth over their lifetimes. Indeed, we are already beginning to see this, with Commsec finding that 50% of all new customers are under 35 years of age while millennial customers have increased by 51% over the last 5 years and now represent 28% of all active members1.

 

… and socially responsible investment activists

With 87%2 of Millennials believing that business success should be measured by more than just financial performance one of the largest changes is likely to be the continued growth in responsible, sustainable or ‘impact’ investing. We are already seeing growth in these strategies accelerate in Australia, with a doubling in funds invested in “core responsible investment” strategies from 2013 to 2015 to A$51.5bn and reaching 3.8% of total assets. See chart below.

 

Core responsible investment strategies as a percentage of Assets under management have increased since 2006

 

Source: RIAA, Responsible Investment Benchmark Report 2016 Australia.

 

With 85% of Millennials interested in or currently using social impact investments3 this trend is likely to accelerate further as they make up a larger proportion of the market. Additionally, 85% of millennials now consider investment decisions as a way to express their values. This is likely to see financial investments become more aligned with social, political and environmental factors, indeed 93% of millennial investors say a company’s impact in these areas is important when making an investment decision.

Here at CFSGAM, we recently conducted a survey of our own staff4 (30% of whom happen to be Millennials) on the extent of their individual beliefs on responsible investment. The survey found that:

  • 80% of staff believe considering ESG issues leads to more complete analyses and better-informed investment decisions.
  • 85% supported the view that asset owners should, as part of their duties, consider both the direct and indirect ESG impacts of their investments.
  • 75% believed that the risks and opportunities associated with ESG factors are not being captured in market values.

 

What this tells us is that Millennials are ahead of the curve when it comes to thinking about the impact and implications of responsible investment strategies. Further, they are more likely to favour responsible investment strategies and are also 1.5x more likely to believe that investing responsibly does not negatively impact performance. Indeed there is more and more evidence that utilizing ESG factors in fact improves performance, with a recent BofAML report finding that they could have helped investors avoid 90% of bankruptcies5.

 

All this means that the industry will need to continue to adapt and suggests responsible investing will likely become increasingly mainstream and less of a niche or nice to have addition to traditional offerings.

 

1 Commsec, June 2017
Deloitte
2016 U.S. Trust and Wealth Survey
4 CFSGAM 2017 Responsible Investment Report
5 Bank of America Merrill Lynch. Equities Strategy Focus Point: ESG: good companies can make good stocks – 18 December 2016