We are once again greeted by December, which means the silly season is here and the end of another year is lurking. Where does the time go!
Christmas! – the time of year when your bank account shrinks, your social calendar explodes, and some family dynamics resemble a poorly scripted soap opera. As we navigate the festive minefield of shopping, social gatherings, and feasting, it’s common to feel a little frazzled… I know I am, and I haven’t even been subjected to the shopping shenanigans or frenzied crowds—yet!
The year so far…
2024 has proven to be a year of fluctuations. The rollercoaster ride of highs and lows persists once more! The stock market continues to soar, reaching record highs by surpassing the 8,500 point milestone in early December. As the popular saying goes, “what goes up, must come down”.
The term ‘inflation’ is still a widely discussed topic, and despite the headline inflation rate showing 2.1%, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) choosing to hold off on any interest rate cuts. Originally expected in mid-2024, then September and December, and now economists are tipping May. The big question for a government set to face voters in May (at the latest) is this: did the Treasurers’ bad budgeting hurt inflation and rate cut hopes and how did this happen?
In simple terms, our economy is too strong. The job market is tight, so unemployment hasn’t budged from around 4.1% because economic growth, powered by the budget blowout (around $60 billion), has kept us away from a recession. Although the Albanese Government has evaded a recession (so far), it has also stalled any prospective rate cuts. While many Australians without debt may be content with unchanged rates, the uncertainty remains regarding when the RBA will make a move. Meanwhile, the US has managed to avoid a recession and implement two rate cuts by decreasing their cash rate below 5%, leading to inflation nearing the Federal Reserve’s 2% target.
Cost of living pressures are still prevalent. The increasing population growth is a leading factor in the surge of house prices and rental demand, pushing the Australian dream of first-time home ownership even further out of reach for many.
Ongoing geopolitical strains are still in force due to the conflicts involving Russia and Ukraine, as well as Israel and Hamas. Meanwhile, China has implemented new stimulus initiatives. Donald Trump’s win in the presidential election confirms him as the 47th president of the United States. His proposed policies, especially regarding tariffs, are anticipated to hinder international trade and heighten global tensions.
As we approach 2025…
It is crucial to stay informed of upcoming changes that could impact you in what is expected to be an eventful year ahead.
With news of a Federal Election, an early Federal Budget, and significant amendments to a range of super, tax, and social security rules are in the pipeline. Major changes to Aged Care reforms have passed Parliament and awaits Royal Assent, which brings new legislation around both Home Care and Residential Aged Care including fees and charges.
Before 2025 graces us with its presence, it’s time to survive and thrive, something we all manage to do anyway… embrace the Christmas chaos, lean into the hilarity and don’t take it all too seriously. Here’s to a joyful festive season filled with laughter and the wonderful chaos that is Christmas. We’ll catch you on the other side. Cheers!